Calibrated AI

We are building the world's first LLM agent that forecasts better than humans.

Founded by Danny Halawi, Nick Levine, and Tammy Halawi.

Forecasts drive critical decisions across government, business, and NGOs, but current methods are slow, costly, and don't scale. Prediction markets are promising but suffer from illiquidity. In our seminal work, we showed that LLM systems can forecast faster and cheaper than humans — with expert-level accuracy and interpretable reasoning chains. Our latest system significantly outperforms the original and is improving rapidly.


If you are an investor, forecaster, or engineer interested in getting involved, please fill out our interest form.

For general inquiries please email us at admin@calibratedai.com.